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Pregnancy Less Likely After Rape

So Akin was right. Still shouldn't have said it. But he was right.

Dr. Thomas Hilgers, a Creighton University obstetrics professor and director of the Pope Paul VI Institute for the Study of Human Reproduction, has revealed that statistics show women are less likely to become pregnant when they are raped than when they engage in consensual intercourse.
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Anonymous said...

Akin said was “It seems to be, first of all, from what I understand from doctors, it’s really rare. If it’s a legitimate rape, the female body has ways to try to shut the whole thing down.”

Dr. Hilgers said that a study of rape victims in Nebraska found that only 1.6% became pregnant, whereas a random sample would have found 2-4% of all women pregnant after an act of intercourse.

1.6% is roughly half of the median of 2-4%. Therefore it would be fair to say that a rape victim is 50% less likely to become pregnant than a woman after consensual intercourse.
That seems very different from being "really rare" and it is difficult to see therefore how you can say Akin was right.

Bartley's said...

what study? they don't cite any sources. I would love to know.

Mary De Voe said...

What Akin was saying is that it is the rape that is the crime,a legitimate (real crime) rape, not the innocent, begotten human being brought into existence through the crime.

Sophia's Favorite said...

@Anonymous: I don't know what the math is like in your home universe, but in mine, 2 instances out of 125 attempts (1.6% of the time) is pretty damned rare.

Also, "half as likely as the median of the normal occurrence" is a significant drop in frequency, that does, in fact, warrant the description "rare". If we reversed that change in rates, and something say, made you twice as likely to get a cancer that normally effects 3% of the population, would you say that wasn't a significant carcinogen?

Apparently you can talk about the median of two rates but you appear to have no comprehension whatsoever of how a given statistical rate has a bearing on actual decision-making.

TomE said...

I do hope this study accounted for rape victims who chose to take "plan B". Otherwise, the conclusion would be severely flawed.

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